The White pawn structure of the
exchange variation points the way to
the Queen's side. So, on that side of the board
is where White would naturally want to attack. Since White will
most probably be attacking on the Queen's side, Black would
be advised to castle on the King's side of the board. If
he castled to the Queen's side, he would be running straight into
White's pieces there. Usually, the Queen's side attack is quicker than
the King's side attack. Now, since Black will most probably castle King's side, if Black tries to attack with his King's side pawns then he must make very
sure that the center can not be opened with a pawn break by white with a pawn push to e4 or that the central Black pawns be liquidated with an energetic attack on the Queen's side. If white opens the center, then the Black King will be very badly exposed. Therefore, Black should attack with pieces if the center can be opened. Black would love to have a Black pawn on the f4 square where he could challenge the white pawn chain with his own attack. By trading his f4 pawn for the white e3 pawn Black would have play on the e file against the resulting backward white e3 pawn.
White has a number of attacking plans.
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(16) Donner,J - Euwe,M [D35]
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